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  • About Jim McCormick
  • The Hall of Fame Case
  • The Sabermetric Case
  • Comparison To His Peers
  • 300 Wins?
  • More
    • Home
    • About Jim McCormick
    • The Hall of Fame Case
    • The Sabermetric Case
    • Comparison To His Peers
    • 300 Wins?
  • Home
  • About Jim McCormick
  • The Hall of Fame Case
  • The Sabermetric Case
  • Comparison To His Peers
  • 300 Wins?

McCormick Compared to His Contemporaries

The game was different in the 19th Century.  The game changed almost yearly in the very early days of baseball, but the most important change for pitchers was in 1893 when the pitching distance changed to 60 ft 6in.


Comparing 19th Century pitchers to today's pitchers can be problematic.  That is why we compare Jim McCormick to his peers.


There are 5 Hall of Fame pitchers who played primarily before 1893 -- John Clarkson, Pud Galvin, Tim Keefe, Old Hoss Radbourn, & Mickey Welch.  

 

Why Didn't McCormick Reach 300 Wins?

Why Didn't McCormick Reach 300 Wins?

Why Didn't McCormick Reach 300 Wins?

There are 2 reasons Jim McCormick fell short of 300 Wins:


1)  McCormick was the first "tough luck" pitcher in baseball history.  He played 8 of his 10 seasons for terrible teams, only once finishing above 5th (out of 8 teams) in runs scored.  McCormick's team was shutout 39 times while he was on the mound, 33 of those during McCormick's peak from 1879-1884.  Only Pud Galvin endured more shutout losses (4 more), and he pitched 5 more seasons and started 200 more games than McCormick.  Bill James' stat waaWL% measures what a pitchers record would be had they played on a league average team.  Not only is McCormick's "lost" wins much greater than his peers, he ranks #1 all time among Hall of Fame pitchers in lost wins.  McCormick endured 1.8 shutout losses per 200 innings pitched, more than any of his HOF peers.


The five Hall of Fame starting pitchers of the era, meanwhile, all played for successful, high run scoring teams in Boston, New York, and Chicago.  McCormick's teams averaged an OPS+ of only 87, by far the lowest of any of his peers.


2)  McCormick retired at age 30 after only 10 seasons while every one of contemporaries who achieved 300 Wins played more seasons, sometimes well into their 30s.  McCormick's wife Jennie was gravely ill with tuberculosis when he retired and she died months later.  McCormick could have held on for several more years at league average as many of his Hall of Fame peers did and compiled more numbers but he retired to care for his wife and tend to his saloon.


For a more full examination of McCormick's lack of 300 Wins, click here.

WAR

Why Didn't McCormick Reach 300 Wins?

Why Didn't McCormick Reach 300 Wins?

McCormick's 76.2 career WAR is better than Old Hoss Radbourn, Pud Galvin, and Mickey Welch.


Only Tim Keefe and John Clarkson have better WAR numbers than McCormick.  


Keefe needed 4 more seasons, over 100 more starts, and over 700 more innings to accrue 10.3 more WAR than McCormick.


Clarkson needed 2 more seasons, 19 more starts, and over 200 more innings to accrue 7.8 more WAR than McCormick. 


A case can be made that, inning for inning, Clarkson & Keefe were better than McCormick (but not by much).  However it is very difficult to make a case that Radbourn, Galvin & Welch were better than McCormick.


When career WAR is broken down by 200 Innings Pitched, only John Clarkson  was better.


WAR per 200 IP:

3.78  Clarkson

3.56  McCormick

3.52  Keefe

3.23  Radbourn

2.78  Galvin

2.65  Welch



ERA

Why Didn't McCormick Reach 300 Wins?

WHIP

McCormick's 2.43 ERA is better than every single one of his Hall of Fame peers.


His ERA is 20 points better than his next closest peer, Tim Keefe.


Among pitchers of his era with 4,000 IP, Jim McCormick ranks 1st in ERA.


McCormick 2.43

Keefe 2.63

Radbourn 2.68

Welch 2.71

Clarkson 2.81

Galvin 2.85

WHIP

Black Ink

WHIP

Jim McCormick's 1.13 WHIP is better than 4 of his 5 Hall of Fame peers.  


Only Tim Keefe's 1.12 WHIP is better, by .01 points.


Keefe 1.12

McCormick 1.13

Radbourn 1.15

Galvin 1.19

Clarkson 1.21

Welch 1.23

Black Ink

Black Ink

Black Ink

Using Bill James' Black Ink test for Hall worthiness, only John Clarkson and Tim Keefe scored higher among his HOF peers than McCormick's 194.


Clarkson 60

Keefe 58

McCormick 40

Radbourn 35

Galvin 19

Welch 3


McCormick is the only pitcher among his HOF peers to lead the league 3x in WAR and his one of only 16 pitchers in history to accomplish that feat.  


McCormick led the league:


3x WAR

2x ERA

2x Wins

2x IP

3x CG

2x ERA+

3x Adjusted Pitching Wins

2x Fielding %

1x Win %

2x Games Started

1x Shutouts

JAWS

Black Ink

Black Ink

Jim McCormick's 72.4 JAWS score is better than 3 of his 5 Hall of Fame peers.


Clarkson's 79.5 score is only 6.1 points better and Keefe's 76.5 score is only 4.1 points better than McCormick.


Clarkson 78.9

Keefe 76.7

McCormick 72.5

Radbourn 71.3

Galvin 67.6

Welch 58.2


McCormick fits squarely among his Hall of Fame peers while the next highest non-HOF peer, Tommy Bond, falls below 4 of the 5 HOF pitchers of the day.

Innings Pitched

Fielding Independent Pitching

Complete Games

McCormick retired after only 10 seasons so his career Innings Pitched are lower than his Hall of Fame peers but he averaged 8.2 innings per game, more than all of his peers.


McCormick averaged 427.2 innings per year, which is #1 all time and more than 27 innings per year more than Pud Galvin, who is 2nd in his era.

Complete Games

Fielding Independent Pitching

Complete Games

Jim McCormick completed 466 of the 485 games he started.  


That 96% complete game rate is second only to Old Hoss Radbourn, who completed 97% of his starts.

Fielding Independent Pitching

Fielding Independent Pitching

Fielding Independent Pitching

Jim McCormick has a better FIP than every single one of his Hall of Fame contemporaries.


Jim McCormick 2.88

Tim Keefe 2.92

Pud Galvin 2.96

Old Hoss Radbourn 3.15

Mickey Welch 3.28

John Clarkson 3.35

SO/W

S-JAWS Score

Fielding Independent Pitching

McCormick's 2.28 SO/W ratio is better than 4 of his 5 HOF peers.  


Only Pud Galvin has a higher SO/W ratio.


McCormick was also elite in the number of BBs he allowed per 9IP:


Pud Galvin 1.12

Jim McCormick 1.58

Old Hoss Radbourn 1.74

Tim Keefe 2.20

John Clarkson 2.36

Mickey Welch 2.43



WAR/162

S-JAWS Score

S-JAWS Score

Only Clarkson has a better WAR/162 than McCormick:


John Clarkson 5.4

Jim McCormick 5.2

Tim Keefe 4.9

Old Hoss Radbourn 4.7

Mickey Welch 3.7

Pud Galvin 3.6

S-JAWS Score

S-JAWS Score

S-JAWS Score

Tim Keefe 61.1

John Clarkson 60.1

Jim McCormick 55.2

Old Hoss Radbourn 55.0

Pud Galvin 51.0

Mickey Welch 46.8

What About Other Non-HOF Peers?

What About Other Non-HOF Peers?

What About Other Non-HOF Peers?

Whether it is WAR, ERA, JAWS, Black Ink, etc. -- Jim McCormick is better than every other non-Hall of Fame pitcher of the pre-1893 er in almost every objective measurement of pitching effectiveness.


The graph above illustrates the JAWS scores of the top pre-1893 pitchers.  McCormick ranks 3rd behind only Clarkson and Keefe.  


Pitchers like Bobby Mathews, Tommy Bond, Charlie Buffinton, and Tony Mullane had great careers and have been considered for the Hall of Fame.  However it is clear McCormick was consistently better than all of them over the course of his entire career.

Conclusion

What About Other Non-HOF Peers?

What About Other Non-HOF Peers?

Jim McCormick was elite in his time.


Only John Clarkson and Tim Keefe could lay claim to being better than McCormick.  


It's not enough to simply elect the 300 Win pitchers of the era into the Hall and call it a day.  We have the tools to measure greatness.  Let's use them.


It's up to us to recognize the greatest players of this era, no matter how remote they seem to today's game.  

Jay Wiley 512-914-8057        McCormickForTheHall@gmail.com       


Copyright © 2018 Jim McCormick for the Hall of Fame - All Rights Reserved.




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